The best-case scenario

Under the best-case scenario, May 10 or some other point mid-May will be a landmark. The government hopes that, by then, measures to flatten the notorious curve will pay off, evening off the number of new infections and deaths and perhaps even reducing them. Such a flattening of the curve would allow it to ease restrictions so that the economy can start functioning again and the people can get some respite from their confinement. This scenario is obviously based on epidemiological models, though there are all sorts of "ifs" to take into account:

If the unruly populations of cities heed the government's warnings and don't break all the rules at Easter; if communities in small towns and villages finally start abiding by the measures and laws instead of believing, as they seem to have so far, that they only apply to cities; if we don't get ticking time bombs going off at...

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