Weighing the facts on the road to The Hague

Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis (r) speaks with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan (l) during a visit to Istanbul in 2022. Many analysts attribute the recent thaw in Ankara's stance to Athens' immediate response with assistance in the aftermath of the deadly February earthquakes in Turkey, though Erdogan had made numerous moves indicating that he sought a rapprochement with the West in any case. [InTime News]

During their recent meeting on the sidelines of the NATO summit at Vilnius, Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan appeared ready for a tentative rapprochement that may lead to a negotiation down the line. Even though such a prospect is still a long way away, the discussion has already started - with no shortage of passion and hyperbole. Taking a close look at the prospects for talks, there are three elements - related ones - that are key to any negotiation going forward: the terms and framework under which they will be conducted, the alternatives in the event that an agreement is not reached, and the timing. The question of timing, for example, refers both to which of the two sides is more pressed for a deal and also to the evolution of events that affect the dynamic between the two sides and would inevitably also influence their...

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