White House

In the thick of instability

We appear to have returned to the usual state of tension between Washington and Moscow, following a period when we could not be sure of how relations would develop given US President Donald Trump's unclear declarations both during his election campaign and after he won.

STRATFOR: 2017 Second-Quarter Forecast

Trade will be at the forefront of many leaders’ minds this quarter as a new U.S. administration settles into the White House. Though U.S. President Donald Trump continues to be bogged down by congressional battles and allegations of inappropriate ties to Russia, his team will try to draw the public’s attention back to its trade agenda.

Cui Bono?

Donald Trump has spent a lot of time in the courts, so he must be familiar with the legal concept of "cui bono" - "who benefits?" When a crime is committed, the likeliest culprit is the person who benefited from the deed. But he certainly did not apply that principle when deciding to attack a Syrian government airbase with 59 cruise missiles early on April 7.

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