Jens Peter Sorensen
The recent health crisis is dampening hopes of a credit rating upgrade for Greece. According to Capital Economics economist Melanie Debono, "it is now highly unlikely that any government will be upgraded by the credit rating agencies in the near future, given that the world is on the verge of a deep recession. Greece is not immune from this."
Straight on the heels of a Greek 10-year bond issue with a record low one percent yield (compared to 45 percent one decade ago), Bloomberg is singing the praises of the prospects of the Greek economy and government and touts the once unthinkable possibility of Greek bonds returning to investment grade (even though they are still at the junk level).
The recent rally in Greek bond yields due to the political crisis in Italy once again illustrated how vulnerable Greece is to external shocks. Analysts at foreign firms told Kathimerini that the Italian unrest will have consequences on Greece, stressing that the choice of a "clean exit" contains great risks as it must come with a huge cash reserve.