Government budget balance

BNS: Real budget revision most likely in November, current one just window dressing

The real budget revision will be probably carried out in November, considering the evolution of certain spending categories, the National Trade Union Bloc (BNS) said in a statement; the union organization cautions that shifting the budgetary pressure to the last two months of the year means an unjustified postponement that is dangerous for budgetary stability.

FinMin Teodorovici says budget revision secures full payment of wages, pensions, investment projects

The latest budget revision bill secures the full payment of public wages, pensions and investment projects, and nobody has to worry about it, Finance Minister Eugen Teodorovici said at the end of a Government meeting on Monday. "The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has passed the 1-billion-leu mark for the first time. Where the Government took some measures, results were seen.

Romania's Q1 2019 gov't deficit: 0.5pct of GDP, according to Finance Ministry

Romania's Q1 2019 government deficit is 0.5 percent of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), while the percentage reported on Friday by Eurostat of 4.5pct of GDP quarterly is calculated against the seasonally adjusted ESA balance by reference to the quarterly GDP, according to the Romanian Ministry of Public Finance (MFP).

UPDATE President Iohannis urges gov't to take steps to consolidate public finance, collect revenues

President Klaus Iohannis on Wednesday urged the government to take measures for rapid consolidation of public finance and collection of the government revenues, arguing that vulnerabilities are widening. "You may remember me having resubmitted the budget for re-examination to Parliament.

Fitch Ratings confirms Romania's rating at 'BBB-', but warns it could exceed deficit target in 2019

Fitch Ratings has affirmed Romania's Long-Term Foreign and Local Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BBB-' with a Stable Outlook, but warned that the budget deficit might widen to 3.4 percent of the GDP in 2019, a release of the agency informed.

Central bank's governor: Inflation, very tricky disease, can occur under 'n' shapes

Inflation is an extremely tricky disease that can occur under 'n' shapes, on Monday asserted the National Bank of Romania (BNR)'s governor Mugur Isarescu at the "Inflation in past ten years" conference, adding that the inflationary pressure as well as our deficits are largely structural.

Possible pressures on the public debt

In the previous Note, we considered the relationship between nominal GDP growth, the fiscal deficit, and the evolution of the debt/GDP ratio. We noted that the math only works if the deficit accurately and truly reflects all the pressures on the stock of debt. In this Note, we can look at this issue in more detail with past data for Greece from 1995-2017.