But the day-to-day headlines obscure a bigger, simpler truth.
Dodik remains a threat to the central feature of the Dayton Peace Accords - peace in Bosnia, and thus the whole of the Western Balkans - because for a decade and a half he has faced virtually no meaningful consequence for his increasingly extremist positions.
Inaction should shame Europe
However, this analysis misses the broader strategic picture - that the external scaffolding supporting the Bosnian state has all but collapsed, creating circumstances in which the RS can break away from Bosnia.
Battle of wills that began at Dayton:
Signing the Dayton Agreement. Photo: Wikimedia commons/NATO
Pre-election fever was in the air of the Balkans too, as politicians in Bosnia, Croatia, Montenegro, North Macedonia and Serbia geared up for elections taking place over the year.
As tough and unpopular economic and social reforms hung Bosnia's politicians like a Sword of Damocles, they jealously watched Montenegro, Serbia and Kosovo stealing attention with their respective crises.