Will Bahçeli smash the AK Party to the wall?

One of the most significant benchmarks on the road to the presidential system was the recent meeting between President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) leader Devlet Bahçeli. It is reported they both had positive impressions from the meeting. 

Following the consensus reached at the Erdoğan-Bahçeli meeting, the ruling Justice and Development Party (AK Party) will prepare a "narrow-scoped" constitution amendment focusing on the presidential system.

Bahçeli will be able to make an evaluation after seeing the draft. They are working on a text that MHP would support. After Bahçeli's review, the text will be redrafted for its final version. 

A while ago, President Erdoğan had said: "We have much in common with the MHP, not a little. Find the 330 seats in parliament [for a constitutional change] and I will pass it in a referendum with my nation." Erdoğan is of the opinion that a high percentage of the people will approve the presidential system in the referendum. This expectation is mostly based on the social changes that have occurred since the July 15 military coup attempt. 

The recent "Polarization and Reconciliation Survey" conducted by polling company GENAR shows that July 15 changed the codes of Turkey to create a new sociology. According to the poll, 70 percent of society is made up of religious believers, nationalists and conservatives, while 24 percent are leftists, social democrats and socialists. 

The survey does not confirm the argument that Turkish society is polarized. On the contrary, society is not polarizing. 

Another striking result of the survey is that if a presidential election was held today, the number who say they will vote for Erdoğan has risen to 60 percent. Still, it is...