The Serbian pendulum and the roles of Vucic

Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic is an unpredictable leader in a region crucial for Balkan peace and stability. Striving to maintain a balanced stance between the West and Russia, he has for years benefited from European and American investments, alongside diplomatic support from Russia (particularly concerning Kosovo) and energy assistance. He likes to brag about these achievements, and with good reason.

Both Russia and the West tread cautiously, avoiding actions that might drive Serbia into the arms of their rivals. Serbia's pivotal role in maintaining the equilibrium of the Balkan peninsula is a reality that Vucic has adeptly leveraged.

However, the conflict in Ukraine and fears of its spillover have placed immense pressure on Vucic. The United States, for geostrategic motives, is advocating for international recognition of Kosovo. Should this occur, Serbia would...