HSBC: Tourism will affect Greek GDP by 422 points by 2022
With tourism accounting for more than 20% of the Greek economy, the recovery expected this year will give a significant boost to GDP. This emerges from the report of the British bank HSBC in relation to the prospects for tourism this year.
The beaches have opened and everything shows that Europeans will enjoy a much better tourist season this year compared to 2020, HSBC points out. This will lead to a gradual recovery of tourism from June, according to HSBC.
Foreign tourist arrivals will reach about 50% of levels before the pandemic in the third quarter. After that, the recovery will be stable, with the result that the tourism industry will have returned to previous levels by the end of 2022. The recovery will be somewhat faster for Italy and Portugal than for Greece or Spain, HSBC points out.
In practice, this means that since tourism last year deducted 6 percentage points from the growth rates of Greece, this year it will add 2 percentage points. The positive impact of tourism on Greek development in 2022 is estimated at 4 percentage points.
The evolution of vaccinations is crucial
Arrivals of tourists from northern European countries to the south this year will largely depend on the evolution of vaccination programs. According to the bank report, given that vaccinated tourists will have a great deal of travel freedom, it is crucial to look at how vaccinations work in Britain and Germany. He predicts that by mid-July, half of adults in Germany and two-thirds in Britain will have been vaccinated. Older people will be able to travel freely first, as in Britain, for example, only a small proportion of those under 40 have been given the first dose. In fact, Britain is giving the second dose after three months. So...